U.S. equity futures are pointing to a modest gap-up at Wednesday's open, with SPY set to open roughly 0.31% above Tuesday's close near 735.86. But beneath the calm surface, gold is cratering nearly 3%, silver is down over 5%, and both /ES and /NQ have been fading off their overnight highs for the past 25 minutes — suggesting the early enthusiasm is losing steam.
Here's the tension: SPY's options market carries $12.57 billion in net negative gamma today, with max pain sitting at 742 — well above current pre-market levels. With 0DTE contracts accounting for 73.3% of SPY's options volume and no major economic data on the calendar, the session has the ingredients for a choppy drift toward that 742 level — or a sharper move if the early fade accelerates through the 730 put wall.
GEX walls are price levels where dealers hedge aggressively. Price tends to gravitate toward Max Pain and stall near walls.
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