S&P 500 futures collapsed overnight, with /ES dropping from a globex open of 7545.75 all the way to a low of 7380.25 before stabilizing near 7368 — a move of roughly 177 points off the session high. Meanwhile, the VIX spiked 18.41% to 18.78 pre-market, a sharp fear-index jump that stands in stark contrast to SPY's near-flat pre-market print of 743.61 (+0.01% vs prior close).
The headlines tell the story: a stronger-than-expected jobs report has reignited rate-hike fears, breadth broke lower last Friday, and equities are gapping down into a deeply negative GEX regime across SPY, QQQ, and IWM. With SPY sitting above its call wall at 740 and max pain also at 740, the 0DTE pin gravitational pull is real — but the violent overnight selloff in futures and a VIX/equity divergence of this magnitude argue that downside pressure into the session open is the higher-probability scenario.
GEX walls are price levels where dealers hedge aggressively. Price tends to gravitate toward Max Pain and stall near walls.
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