Pinning thesis holds strong at midday—SPY/QQQ/IWM all confirm predicted ranges despite sharp tech drawdown; VIX holds sub-15 on negative GEX.
Dealer positioning shows a clear regime shift as options market makers adjust hedges across the curve. The put-call skew has compressed significantly, suggesting institutional players are reducing downside protection.
Watch the key level closely at open — it sits exactly at the intersection of the GEX zero line and overnight VWAP. A clean break above opens the path to the call wall; rejection sends us back toward the put wall.